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comment-2006-01-02-3Visualize Context (requires Java Plug-in)
CREATED BY slauti • LAST EDITED BY slauti 6656 days AGO
ask the right question is the most important thing. If you don't it's like futures trading on wheat when you know beforehand that world wide weather is going to let prices rise. But if not you can still take clues from the deviatons in the expected trend.

Second thought: You really do need large markets or medium sized quite expert markets to get anything realistic. Remember all the past election exchange markets in Austria? Short term prediction in the super simple form of shares without any explicit prediction elements. Far off the mark, cause the markets where to small/nonexpert. It gets worse with options. Our simulation long ago told us that for sure. That is where the company usage problem is. You should have a very large (international) or very expert company or the pm will only simpleextrapolate (add up) the now or sad missed trends of the past.


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